The yield curve was once just a wonky graph for academics and policymakers. But in recent years it has become a way to forecast looming recessions. The curve has helped predict every recession over the past 50 years. That means the curve accurately predicted even largely unforeseen downturns like the dot-com bubble of 2001 and the Great Recession in 2007. As a result, news of yield curve inversions can now send markets tumbling. Policymakers keep a close eye on even small changes in the curve’s composition. So how did this simple graph showing U.S. Treasury bond interest rates grow into one of the most reliable recession indicators we have? And what does a yield curve inversion really mean? » Subscribe to CNBC: » Subscribe to CNBC TV: » Subscribe to CNBC Classic: About CNBC: From 'Wall Street' to 'Main Street' to award winning original documentaries and Reality TV series, CNBC has you covered. Experience special sneak peeks of your favorite shows, exclu...
Timothy Sumer is a philanthropist and motivational speaker empowering young entrepreneurs across the nation. He speaks on starting new businesses and the importance of branding in the digital age. Timothy Sumer has a BA in Accounting from NYU and a Masters in Information Technology from MIT. Tim enjoys traveling around the globe, driving exotic sports cars, molecular gastronomy, exploring new cultures, and keeping on top of the latest technology trends. Hope you enjoy Timothy Sumer's page :)