Every quarter, we like to take a look at the main aspects of the overall economy. That means that we'll be speaking about inflation, stocks, PMs and other commodities, and real estate. We'll even touch on debt, employment, and the likely recession. There will be major tides in 2023 which may have significant impacts on BOTH investor confidence, and the wealth effect. A lot of this economic set-up is leading us all right into yet ANOTHER debt ceiling crisis, mixed in with what will be a spike in defaults and bankruptcies. By knowing which way the wind is blowing, you will be more likely to avoid the MAJOR risks, while getting involved with some of the hundreds of great opportunities which will be all around you throughout 2023, such as many which we expose through the newsletter. Just yesterday we got the latest inflation print, dropping yet again. Inflation is incredibly significant, b/c as we are all feeling the pinch, and having a harder time making ends meet, our buying habits will change... which in turn has major ramifications on the stocks which reflect a big portion of the economy. For example, when eggs and bread cost 50% more, you may go out to restaurants less frequently, or you may choose to put off purchases of expensive jeans or luxury items. You may even feel consumer confidence falling, or feel the much darker vibe in conversations with your friend and family, or around the water cooler at work. One of the ways this manifests is displayed through the velocity of money declining. The overall economy gradually slows, which we are seeing right now the world over. For example, the European Commission's economic forecast says most EU countries are already in recession. Next will be a recession here in America, which means bankruptcies, delinquencies, rising unemployment, and an overall decline in the quality of all of our lives. When the recession arrives, it will do a few things: - drive away investor confidence - it will result in layoffs, and thus eventually a climbing unemployment rate - debt defaults will rise, on top of already significant problems to come with the MUCH higher interest rates. Speaking of interest rates, remember there is quite a delay b/w an increase in rates, and when that increase eventually starts having their negative effect. Typically many months. That will be another handful of sand thrown in the eyes of the real estate market. Case schiller RE index - MoM, YoY With declining RE prices, you get a reversal of the wealth effect. stocks direction good so far in 2023, much was short-covering rally. precious metals 2023 year of PMs Central bank buying trends (show chart) China hides purchases, proxies, false or lack of reporting Gearing up for gold-backed currency. __________________ Here is the set-up: RE in decline as we roll into a recession. Layoffs and bankruptcies will rise, just as the weight of the increased interest rates begin to have their effect. As long as more PM demand than supply, prices will keep rising. Since gold is one of the best-performing assets of ALL types right now, it will finally be on people's radar. ==== Please Support the Channel ===== SUBSCRIBE to the Peter Leeds YouTube channel: Get STOCK PICKS from the Peter Leeds Team: #economy #recession #preciousmetals ===== Meet Peter and Learn to Invest ===== ===== Peter's Favorites ===== ===== The Big Market Crash ===== ===== BREAKING EVENTS: Stocks, Recession, Wars, Bitcoin, Oil, Gold =====...(read more)
LEARN ABOUT: Investing During Inflation
REVEALED: Best Investment During Inflation
HOW TO INVEST IN GOLD: Gold IRA Investing
HOW TO INVEST IN SILVER: Silver IRA Investing
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