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Komal Sri-Kumar suggests that the recession is imminent based on the 10-year Treasury yield

Komal Sri Kumar, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies president, and Barry Knapp, Ironsides Macroeconomics director of research, join 'Squawk Box' to preview Fed's rate hike decision, the impact on the markets, what to look forward to for the rest of the year, and more. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: » Subscribe to CNBC TV: » Subscribe to CNBC: Turn to CNBC TV for the latest stock market news and analysis. From market futures to live price updates CNBC is the leader in business news worldwide. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: Follow CNBC News on Facebook: Follow CNBC News on Twitter: Follow CNBC News on Instagram: #CNBC #CNBCTV ...(read more)
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Renowned economist Komal Sri-Kumar has recently made a bold prediction about the state of the economy, claiming that the 10-year Treasury yield indicates an impending recession. Sri-Kumar's analysis suggests that investors should brace themselves for an economic downturn in the near future. The 10-year Treasury yield is the interest rate that investors receive for holding U.S. government debt for a ten-year period. This yield is often considered a crucial benchmark for the economy, as it reflects the market's expectation of future economic growth and inflation. When the yield drops, it indicates a lack of confidence in the economy, often leading to a recession. Sri-Kumar argues that the recent decline in the 10-year Treasury yield is a warning sign that cannot be ignored. The yield has dropped significantly in recent months, reaching its lowest level since 2017. This decline can be attributed to various factors like trade tensions between the United States and China, geopolitical uncertainties, and global economic slowdown fears. Historically, a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield has typically preceded economic recessions. It serves as a reliable indicator for economists and investors to assess the health of the economy. As the yield approaches zero or drops into negative territory, it implies that investors are seeking safe assets, fearing an imminent economic downturn. This flight to safety often prompts a decrease in consumer spending, which in turn negatively impacts economic growth. Sri-Kumar's warning resonates with other economic indicators that have been signaling a potential downturn. The inverted yield curve, where shorter-term bonds yield higher interest rates than longer-term bonds, has occurred multiple times throughout history and is widely considered a reliable predictor of recessions. Additionally, global manufacturing activity has been slowing down, and central banks around the world are cutting interest rates to stimulate growth, further suggesting a weakening economy. To paint a clearer picture of the impending recession, it is essential to examine the potential consequences it could bring. A recession typically leads to job losses, reduced consumer spending, and declining business investments. It can also create financial turmoil in stock markets and lead to a decrease in housing prices. These consequences have a ripple effect across various sectors, causing economic uncertainty and negatively impacting individuals and businesses alike. However, it is important to note that not all economists share Sri-Kumar's view. Some argue that the yield curve may be distorted due to unconventional monetary policies and that global factors like the U.S.-China trade war are temporary and can be resolved with trade agreements. Regardless of differing opinions, it is prudent for investors and policymakers to closely monitor economic indicators and be prepared for any potential downturn. While it is impossible to predict the exact timing and severity of a recession, the 10-year Treasury yield and other indicators highlight the importance of being prepared and taking proactive measures. In conclusion, Komal Sri-Kumar's analysis of the 10-year Treasury yield serves as a warning that a recession may be on the horizon. The declining yield, coupled with other economic indicators, suggests that economic growth may slow down in the near future. It is crucial for individuals, businesses, and policymakers to heed these warnings and be prepared for any potential challenges that may arise. https://inflationprotection.org/komal-sri-kumar-suggests-that-the-recession-is-imminent-based-on-the-10-year-treasury-yield/?feed_id=139574&_unique_id=65118243dc82b #Inflation #Retirement #GoldIRA #Wealth #Investing #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkBoxU.S. #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews #RecessionNews #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkBoxU.S. #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews

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