Why a recession in 2021 is becoming increasingly probable

Joe LaVorgna, SMBC Nikko Securities chief economist, and Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate hikes, and more. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: » Subscribe to CNBC TV: » Subscribe to CNBC: Turn to CNBC TV for the latest stock market news and analysis. From market futures to live price updates CNBC is the leader in business news worldwide. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: Follow CNBC News on Facebook: Follow CNBC News on Twitter: Follow CNBC News on Instagram: #CNBC #CNBCTV...(read more)

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BREAKING: Recession News LEARN MORE ABOUT: Bank Failures REVEALED: Best Investment During Inflation HOW TO INVEST IN GOLD: Gold IRA Investing

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Here's why a recession is likely to happen this year The year 2020 has proven to be a challenging one for global economies, and there is growing concern among economists and financial experts that a recession is on the horizon. The outbreak and spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted numerous industries, paralyzed supply chains, and caused widespread unemployment. These factors, along with various other indicators, suggest that a recession is likely to happen this year. One of the primary reasons why a recession is highly likely is the disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, which has had an unprecedented impact on the global economy. As governments worldwide implemented lockdown measures and travel restrictions, businesses were forced to shut down or drastically reduce their operations. This has resulted in a sharp decline in consumer spending, as people are confined to their homes or fearful of spending due to the uncertainty surrounding the pandemic. In addition to reduced consumer spending, the pandemic has severely affected businesses across sectors, especially those that rely on physical interactions such as travel, hospitality, and retail. Many companies have faced severe financial losses and have been forced to lay off employees or shut down completely. This has led to significant job losses and a rise in unemployment rates, further exacerbating the economic downturn. Another critical factor is the disruption of global supply chains. As countries imposed travel restrictions and closed their borders, the flow of goods and services from one country to another has been severely hampered. Many businesses rely on international trade and depend on the availability of raw materials or components from other countries. With supply chains disrupted, it has become increasingly challenging for companies to continue production, leading to a decline in output and efficiency. Furthermore, the current economic situation is marked by volatility in financial markets. Stock markets around the world have experienced significant losses, triggering fear among investors. Uncertainty about the duration and impact of the pandemic has led to increased selling pressure and reduced investor confidence. A sharp decline in stock prices can have a cascading effect on consumer spending and business investments, further aggravating the economic crisis. Government responses to the pandemic have also strained public finances. To mitigate the impact of the pandemic, governments have implemented massive stimulus packages, including financial aid to individuals and businesses. These measures have resulted in higher government debt and budget deficits. As a consequence, governments may face difficulties in sustaining these relief efforts, potentially leading to reduced public spending and further dampening economic growth. While the current economic situation raises concerns, it is important to note that recessions are cyclical and a natural part of economic cycles. Historically, the global economy has experienced periods of expansion followed by contractions. Economic recessions offer an opportunity for economies to recalibrate, restructure, and eventually recover. However, it is crucial for governments, policymakers, and institutions to proactively address the challenges posed by the pandemic-induced recession. Targeted fiscal and monetary policies should be implemented to support businesses, protect jobs, and stimulate demand. Investments in healthcare and infrastructure can play a vital role in creating new opportunities and boosting economic growth. In conclusion, multiple factors indicate that a recession is likely to happen this year, primarily due to the COVID-19 pandemic's severe impact on businesses, consumer spending, and global supply chains. However, with appropriate measures and interventions, economies can recover and lay the foundation for a more resilient and sustainable future. https://inflationprotection.org/why-a-recession-in-2021-is-becoming-increasingly-probable/?feed_id=140029&_unique_id=65132955b03d0 #Inflation #Retirement #GoldIRA #Wealth #Investing #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkBoxU.S. #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews #RecessionNews #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkBoxU.S. #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews