Jan Hatzius, chief economist and head of global investment research at Goldman Sachs, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to explain why the company lowered the recession probability from 35% to 25% and more. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO:
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BREAKING: Recession News LEARN MORE ABOUT: Bank Failures REVEALED: Best Investment During Inflation HOW TO INVEST IN GOLD: Gold IRA Investing
Here's Why Goldman Sachs Cuts Recession Probability from 35% to 25% Goldman Sachs, one of the world's leading investment banking firms, has revised its projection for a potential recession in the near future. Previously, the firm had estimated a 35% chance of an economic downturn, but it has now lowered the probability to 25%. This development has caught the attention of analysts and investors alike, as Goldman Sachs is widely respected for its accurate market predictions. There are several factors behind Goldman Sachs' favorable adjustment. First and foremost, the global economy is showing signs of recovery after the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccination rates are increasing in many countries, leading to a decline in infections and a gradual easing of restrictions. This positive development has not only boosted consumer confidence but has also encouraged businesses to resume operations, supporting economic growth. Furthermore, the fiscal stimulus measures taken by various governments have played a significant role in stabilizing and reviving the economy. Governments worldwide have implemented expansive spending programs, providing financial assistance to struggling businesses and individuals. These moves have stimulated demand and injected liquidity into the market, safeguarding against a severe economic slump. Another vital factor in Goldman Sachs' revision is the accommodative monetary policy adopted by central banks across the globe. Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, have kept interest rates at historically low levels and implemented bond purchasing programs. These measures have effectively supported lending, encouraged investment, and facilitated economic expansion. Additionally, Goldman Sachs has acknowledged the robust corporate earnings reported by companies during the second quarter. Many businesses have experienced a strong rebound, surpassing pre-pandemic levels and exceeding market expectations. These positive earnings reflect consumers' pent-up demand and their willingness to spend, bolstering economic prospects. However, it is essential to understand that the revision does not entirely eliminate the possibility of a recession. Uncertain factors, such as potential COVID-19 variants, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected shocks to the market, can still impact the economic landscape. Goldman Sachs' revised probability simply indicates a more optimistic outlook based on the current state of affairs. Goldman Sachs' downward revision offers a ray of hope for businesses and investors alike. It suggests that the worst-case scenario of a recession may not be as likely as previously believed. However, it is essential to remain cautious and vigilant as the trajectory of the economy remains susceptible to various external factors. In conclusion, Goldman Sachs' decision to reduce the estimated recession probability from 35% to 25% indicates a renewed confidence in the global economic recovery. Factors such as increasing vaccinations, fiscal stimulus measures, supportive monetary policies, and robust corporate earnings contribute to this optimistic outlook. Nevertheless, the unpredictability of the current landscape necessitates ongoing vigilance, and it is crucial to monitor future developments closely. https://inflationprotection.org/goldman-sachs-reduces-recession-probability-from-35-to-25-find-out-why/?feed_id=142801&_unique_id=651e6b54581e2 #Inflation #Retirement #GoldIRA #Wealth #Investing #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkontheStreet #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews #RecessionNews #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkontheStreet #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews
BREAKING: Recession News LEARN MORE ABOUT: Bank Failures REVEALED: Best Investment During Inflation HOW TO INVEST IN GOLD: Gold IRA Investing
Here's Why Goldman Sachs Cuts Recession Probability from 35% to 25% Goldman Sachs, one of the world's leading investment banking firms, has revised its projection for a potential recession in the near future. Previously, the firm had estimated a 35% chance of an economic downturn, but it has now lowered the probability to 25%. This development has caught the attention of analysts and investors alike, as Goldman Sachs is widely respected for its accurate market predictions. There are several factors behind Goldman Sachs' favorable adjustment. First and foremost, the global economy is showing signs of recovery after the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccination rates are increasing in many countries, leading to a decline in infections and a gradual easing of restrictions. This positive development has not only boosted consumer confidence but has also encouraged businesses to resume operations, supporting economic growth. Furthermore, the fiscal stimulus measures taken by various governments have played a significant role in stabilizing and reviving the economy. Governments worldwide have implemented expansive spending programs, providing financial assistance to struggling businesses and individuals. These moves have stimulated demand and injected liquidity into the market, safeguarding against a severe economic slump. Another vital factor in Goldman Sachs' revision is the accommodative monetary policy adopted by central banks across the globe. Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, have kept interest rates at historically low levels and implemented bond purchasing programs. These measures have effectively supported lending, encouraged investment, and facilitated economic expansion. Additionally, Goldman Sachs has acknowledged the robust corporate earnings reported by companies during the second quarter. Many businesses have experienced a strong rebound, surpassing pre-pandemic levels and exceeding market expectations. These positive earnings reflect consumers' pent-up demand and their willingness to spend, bolstering economic prospects. However, it is essential to understand that the revision does not entirely eliminate the possibility of a recession. Uncertain factors, such as potential COVID-19 variants, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected shocks to the market, can still impact the economic landscape. Goldman Sachs' revised probability simply indicates a more optimistic outlook based on the current state of affairs. Goldman Sachs' downward revision offers a ray of hope for businesses and investors alike. It suggests that the worst-case scenario of a recession may not be as likely as previously believed. However, it is essential to remain cautious and vigilant as the trajectory of the economy remains susceptible to various external factors. In conclusion, Goldman Sachs' decision to reduce the estimated recession probability from 35% to 25% indicates a renewed confidence in the global economic recovery. Factors such as increasing vaccinations, fiscal stimulus measures, supportive monetary policies, and robust corporate earnings contribute to this optimistic outlook. Nevertheless, the unpredictability of the current landscape necessitates ongoing vigilance, and it is crucial to monitor future developments closely. https://inflationprotection.org/goldman-sachs-reduces-recession-probability-from-35-to-25-find-out-why/?feed_id=142801&_unique_id=651e6b54581e2 #Inflation #Retirement #GoldIRA #Wealth #Investing #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkontheStreet #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews #RecessionNews #breakingnews #businessnews #cable #cablenews #CNBC #financenews #financestock #financialnews #money #moneytips #newschannel #newsstation #SquawkontheStreet #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #Stocks #usnews #worldnews
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